The Danger of Deconsolidation: The Democratic Disconnect
Citation: Roberto Stefan Foa, Yascha Mounk (2016) The Danger of Deconsolidation: The Democratic Disconnect. Journal of Democracy (RSS)
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Summary
Authors say political scientists assume consolidated, wealthy democracies never deconsolidate. By not studying how these might deconsolidate and looking for warning signs, we may be taken by surprise, as we were by the fall of the USSR.
World Values Surveys (1995–2014) are worrying. Indicators of democratic regime legitimacy are lower for respondents born later, and where data exists, have declined for same cohorts over 1995-2014 on whether it is "essential" to live in a democratic country, and whether military rule is unacceptable. Also political engagement has decreased and some flips have taken place, eg wealthy were less likely to support authoritarian rule, now more likely.
Theoretical and Practical Relevance
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/29/world/americas/western-liberal-democracy.html on forthcoming paper by same authors widely discussed