Long-term cost-effectiveness of interventions for loss of electricity/industry compared to artificial general intelligence safety

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Citation: David Denkenberger, Anders Sandberg, Ross John Tieman, Joshua M. Pearce Long-term cost-effectiveness of interventions for loss of electricity/industry compared to artificial general intelligence safety.
Internet Archive Scholar (search for fulltext): Long-term cost-effectiveness of interventions for loss of electricity/industry compared to artificial general intelligence safety
Wikidata (metadata): Q109576998
Download: https://eujournalfuturesresearch.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40309-021-00178-z
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Summary

Extends and develops models of cost effectiveness of interventions to prepare for rouge Artificial General Intelligence and loss of industry due to global disaster.

"Model 1, partly based on a poll of Effective Altruism conference participants, finds a confidence that industrial loss preparation is more cost-effective than artificial general intelligence safety of ~ 88% and ~ 99+% for the 30 millionth dollar spent on industrial loss interventions and the margin now, respectively. Model 2 populated by one of the authors produces ~ 50% and ~ 99% confidence, respectively."

"Both cause areas save expected lives cheaply in the present generation and funding to preparation for industrial loss is particularly urgent."